ISBN-10:
0742562700
ISBN-13:
9780742562707
Pub. Date:
02/15/2008
Publisher:
Rowman & Littlefield Publishers, Inc.
The Keys to the White House: A Surefire Guide to Predicting the Next President / Edition 2008

The Keys to the White House: A Surefire Guide to Predicting the Next President / Edition 2008

by Allan J. Lichtman
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Overview

With The Keys to the White House: A Surefire Guide to Predicting the Next President, average citizens are giving the pollsters and pundits a run for their money. In this book, prominent political analyst and historian Allan J. Lichtman presents thirteen historical factors, or "keys" (four political, seven performance, and two personality), that determine the outcome of presidential elections. In the chronological, successful application of these keys to every election since 1860—including the 2000 election where Al Gore was predicted to and did indeed win the popular vote, and the 2004 contest for Bush's reelection—Lichtman dispels much of the mystery behind electoral politics and challenges many traditional assumptions. Scholars of the electoral process, their students, and general readers who want to get a head-start on calling Decision 2008 should not miss this book.

Product Details

ISBN-13: 9780742562707
Publisher: Rowman & Littlefield Publishers, Inc.
Publication date: 02/15/2008
Edition description: 2008 Edition
Pages: 216
Product dimensions: 6.00(w) x 8.90(h) x 0.50(d)

About the Author

Allan J. Lichtman is professor of American history at American University.

Table of Contents

Chapter 1. Logic of the Keys: How Presidential Elections Really Work Chapter 2. Turning the Keys to the Presidency Chapter 3. Civil War and Reconstruction Chapter 4. The Gilded Age Chapter 5. Rise and Fall of Progressivism Chapter 6. Depression, War, and Cold War Chapter 7. New Directions, War, and Scandal Chapter 8. The Reagan Revolution Chapter 9. A False Dawn for Democrats Chapter 10. The Winds of Political Change: Forecast for 2008 Chapter 11. Lessons of the Keys: Toward a New Presidential Politics

What People are Saying About This

David Broder

For generations, politicians, pundits, and poll-takers have been seeking their version of the Holy Grail--a surefire, guaranteed way to predict presidential elections well ahead of time. It may have been found in this book.

William Schneider

Do me a favor. Don't read this book. Because if you do, it could put all of us pundits and political consultants out of business. Allan Lichtman has some nerve, revealing our trade secrets to the great unwashed public. Including the biggest secret of all, which is that the presidential vote is simple, rational, and highly predictable.

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