Predicting the Next President: The Keys to the White House, 2012 Edition

Predicting the Next President: The Keys to the White House, 2012 Edition

by Allan J. Lichtman

Paperback(2012 Edition)



In Predicting the Next President political analyst and historian Allan J. Lichtman presents thirteen historical factors, or “keys” (four political, seven performance, and two personality), that determine the outcome of presidential elections. In the chronological, successful application of these keys to every election since 1860, Lichtman dispels much of the mystery behind electoral politics and challenges many traditional assumptions. An indispensable resource for political junkies who want to get a head-start on calling Decision 2012.

Product Details

ISBN-13: 9781442212114
Publisher: Rowman & Littlefield Publishers, Inc.
Publication date: 01/16/2012
Edition description: 2012 Edition
Pages: 226
Product dimensions: 6.00(w) x 9.00(h) x 0.60(d)

About the Author

Allan J. Lichtman teaches history at American University in Washington, D.C. He is a regular political analyst for CNN Headline News and also provides political commentary for every other network and cable channel. He is the author of White Protestant Nation: The Rise of the American Conservative Movement.

Table of Contents

Chapter 1: Logic of the Keys: How Presidential Elections Really Work
Chapter 2: Turning the Keys to the Presidency
Chapter 3: Civil War and Reconstruction
Chapter 4: The Gilded Age
Chapter 5: Rise and Fall of Progressivism
Chapter 6: Depression, War, and Cold War
Chapter 7: New Directions, War, and Scandal
Chapter 8: The Reagan and Beyond
Chapter 9: A False Dawn for Democrats: 1996-2004
Chapter 10: The Winds of Political Change: 2008
Chapter 11: Stability in the White House: Forecast for 2012
Chapter 12: Lessons of the Keys: Toward a New Presidential Politics

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