The Keys to the White House: A Surefire Guide to Predicting the Next President

The Keys to the White House: A Surefire Guide to Predicting the Next President

by Allan J. Lichtman


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With The Keys to the White House, average citizens are giving the pollsters and pundits a run for their money. In this book prominent political analyst and historian Allan J. Lichtman presents thirteen historical factors, or "keys" (four political, seven performance, and two personality), that determine the outcome of presidential elections. In the chronological, successful application of these keys to every election from 1860 through Clinton's 1992 defeat of Bush and reelection in 1996, Lichtman dispels much of the mystery behind electoral politics and challenges many traditional assumptions. Scholars of the electoral process, their students, and general readers who want to know why Al Gore will be the next president should not miss this book.

Product Details

ISBN-13: 9780739101797
Publisher: Lexington Books
Publication date: 01/28/1996
Edition description: REPRINT
Pages: 208
Product dimensions: 5.96(w) x 9.00(h) x 0.61(d)

About the Author

Allan J. Lichtman is Professor of History and Chair of the Department of History at American University.

Table of Contents

Chapter 1 Logic of the Keys: How Presidential Elections Really Work Chapter 2 Turning the Keys to the Presidency Chapter 3 Civil War and Reconstruction Chapter 4 The Gilded Age Chapter 5 Rise and Fall of Progressivism Chapter 6 Depression, War, and Cold War Chapter 7 New Directions, War, and Scandal Chapter 8 Reagan and Beyond Chapter 9 Lessons of the Keys Chapter 10 Toward a New Presidential Politics Chapter 11 How to Bet in '96

What People are Saying About This

David Broder

For generations, politicians, pundits, and poll-takers have been seeking their version of the Holy Grail--a surefire, guaranteed way to predict presidential elections well ahead of time. It may have been found in this book.

William Schneider

Do me a favor. Don't read this book. Because if you do, it could put all of us pundits and political consultants out of business. Allan Lichtman has some nerve, revealing our trade secrets to the great unwashed public. Including the biggest secret of all, which is that the presidential vote is simple, rational, and highly predictable.

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