Investment under Uncertainty

Investment under Uncertainty

by Robert K. Dixit, Robert S. Pindyck

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Overview

How should firms decide whether and when to invest in new capital equipment, additions to their workforce, or the development of new products? Why have traditional economic models of investment failed to explain the behavior of investment spending in the United States and other countries? In this book, Avinash Dixit and Robert Pindyck provide the first detailed exposition of a new theoretical approach to the capital investment decisions of firms, stressing the irreversibility of most investment decisions, and the ongoing uncertainty of the economic environment in which these decisions are made. In so doing, they answer important questions about investment decisions and the behavior of investment spending.


This new approach to investment recognizes the option value of waiting for better (but never complete) information. It exploits an analogy with the theory of options in financial markets, which permits a much richer dynamic framework than was possible with the traditional theory of investment. The authors present the new theory in a clear and systematic way, and consolidate, synthesize, and extend the various strands of research that have come out of the theory. Their book shows the importance of the theory for understanding investment behavior of firms; develops the implications of this theory for industry dynamics and for government policy concerning investment; and shows how the theory can be applied to specific industries and to a wide variety of business problems.

Product Details

ISBN-13: 9781400830176
Publisher: Princeton University Press
Publication date: 07/14/2012
Sold by: Barnes & Noble
Format: NOOK Book
Pages: 488
File size: 13 MB
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About the Author

Avinash K. Dixit is John J. F. Sherrerd '52 University Professor of Economics at Princeton University. His most recent book is Thinking Strategically, with Barry Nalebuff (Norton). Robert S. Pindyck is Mitsubishi Bank Professor of Economics at the Sloan School of Management, MIT. His books include Econometric Models and Economic Forecasts, with Daniel L. Rubinfeld (McGraw-Hill).

Table of Contents

Preface
1 A New View of Investment 3
2 Developing the Concepts Through Simple Examples 26
3 Stochastic Processes and Ito's Lemma 59
4 Dynamic Optimization under Uncertainty 93
5 Investment Opportunities and Investment Timing 135
6 The Value of a Project and the Decision to Invest 175
7 Entry, Exit, Lay-Up, and Scrapping 213
8 Dynamic Equilibrium in a Competitive Industry 247
9 Policy Intervention and Imperfect Competition 282
10 Sequential Investment 319
11 Incremental Investment and Capacity Choice 357
12 Applications and Empirical Research 394
References 429
Symbol Glossary 445
Author Index 449
Subject Index 455

What People are Saying About This

Bernstein

[The authors'] approach has powerful implications for investors in marketable assets as well. No investment professional or CFO can afford to ignore this brilliant new book.
Peter L. Bernstein, author of "Capital Ideas: The Improbable Origins of Modern Wall Street"

From the Publisher

"[The authors'] approach has powerful implications for investors in marketable assets as well. No investment professional or CFO can afford to ignore this brilliant new book."—Peter L. Bernstein, author of Capital Ideas: The Improbable Origins of Modern Wall Street

"Avinash Dixit and Robert Pindyck have successfully applied to capital budgeting the ideas and techniques of option pricing that have so enriched our understanding of financial markets."—Merton H. Miller, Nobel Laureate in Economics

Miller

Avinash Dixit and Robert Pindyck have successfully applied to capital budgeting the ideas and techniques of option pricing that have so enriched our understanding of financial markets.
Merton H. Miller, Nobel Laureate in Economics

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Investment Under Uncertainty 5 out of 5 based on 0 ratings. 1 reviews.
Guest More than 1 year ago
The book is probably the very few in one's lifetime that offers nutrition to our mind. The authors, according to my view, didnt use a single redundant word yet didnt hesitate to write as much as it takes to make you understand the ideas. I predict, these two authors will receive Noble Prize within 10 years, mostly because of this book.